Master of Economic Policy and Planning - Main Campus
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- ItemExtension Services and Agricultural Production in Gabiley Region, Somaliland(Kampala International University, Degree Master Of Arts Economics Policy And Planning, 2012-11) Abdirahman, Sa'ad MuseThis study explores the relationship between extension services and agricultural production in Gabiley region, Somali land. The study was guided by the following research objectives; to correlate the extension services and agricultural production in the Gabiley region, Somali land. To determine the levels of extension services among the agricultural production in Gabiley region, Somali land, to determine the level of agricultural production in Gabiley region, Somali land to determine if there was a significant difference in the level of extension services and agricultural production among the farm owners to their profile characteristics, to determine if there was a significant relationship between the level of extension services and the level of agricultural production among farmers in Gabiley region, Somali land. The study was conducted through descriptive survey and correlation research design by using quantitative approach with two parts questionnaire and 386 respondents was selected from selected farmers in Gabiley region, Somali land. The study utilized descriptive statistics, frequencies and percentage; tables were used in the presentation of data. And also Pearson's Product Moment Correlation Coefficient was applied to test correlation between extension services and agricultural production. The researcher found extension services and agricultural production in Gabiley region are significantly correlated. The researcher recommended that Somali land government should ensure continuous improvements in their services to increase agricultural production.
- ItemContributions of civil society organizations and poverty reduction in selected Borama District, Somaliland(Kampala International University, College of Economics & management., 2012-12) Mohamed Hussein, Mohamed(CSO5) on different programs and projects planned and executed and Concern Borama in the wellbeing of the beneficiaries in particular and the contribution they made to the poverty reduction efforts of the District. In light of this, Primary data collected from Field and data collected through questionnaire were used to make the paper sound. Simple random sampling design was employed to select the sample respondents from the total CSOs. The collected data has been analyzed by using SPSS Package. The study result shows that the poverty reduction programs that CSOs organizations have brought significant change in the poverty status of the program beneficiaries. The researcher concludes that their Contribution made significant change in the poverty reduction in Borama, Somaliland.
- ItemExtent of poverty and Rural-Urban migration in selected Villages in Maroodi-Jeeh, Somaliland(Kampala International University; College of Economics and management, 2012-12) Mustafe, AhmedPoverty is synonymous with the developing countries especially in the rural areas which resulted in the migration of so many people to the urban areas in such of greener postures. This study is set to examine the relationship between poverty and rural urban migration. The study has the following objectives: To determine the profile of respondents in terms of, age, gender, educational level, employment situation; To determine the levels of poverty in selected villages in Maroodi-Jeeh; To determine the level of Rural-Urban migration in selected villages in Maroodi-Jeeh; To identify if there is a significant difference in the level of poverty and the level of Rural-Urban migration in selected villages in Maroodi-Jeeh, Somaliland; To determine if there are significant relationship between poverty and Rural-Urban migration in selected villages in MaroodiJeeh, Somaliland. The study finds out that there is a significant relationship between the extent of poverty and the rural-urban migration.
- ItemFinancial Budgeting and Growth of Dahabshiil Money Transfer Company Limited, Kampala Uganda(Kampala International University, College of Economics and Management., 2014-10) Nuh, Osman SaedThis thesis titled Financial budgeting and the growth of Dahabshil Money Transfer Company Ltd.” is presented as a result of research that ~as carried out at the Company’s country offices in Kampala, Uganda. The study was carried out based on four specific objectives. i.e.: to determine the demographic characteristics of respondents as to age. gender professional qualifications, in relation to their duties: to identify the ~arious components of financial budgeting utilized in Dahabshil Money Transfer Company: to examine the factors that determine the gro~~th of firms. specifically. l)ahabshil Money Transfer Company: and to examine the relationship between financial budgeting and firm growth in Dahabshil Money Transfer Company .The study was in form of descriptive correlation design. to describe and analyze the condition of the areas being studied as it was at the time. Ehe stud) population comprised of 180 employees of Dahabshil Money Transfer Company Ltd. including: personnel from the HR section, clearing and forwarding sections. Procurement and Logistics management section and other authorized persons. from i~hich a study sample of 120 respondents was chosen. using Purposive sampling method. Questionnaires ‘scre used in collecting both primary and secondary data. I he collected data was analyzed using both qualitative and quantitative methods. flue lindings of the stud) revealed that the components of financial budgeting included: budgeting on au annual basis: budget director does the preparation and presentation of the budget: individual departments submit separate budgets for their operations: bottom-up budgeting approach; and that a budget enables corrective actions to be taken. it ‘ivas also revealed from the findings of the study that the various factors that determine the growth of firms include: effectiveness and accuracy or budgetary forecasts: employee? innovation and motivation: managerial compctencics and efficiency of communication;the qualifications and experience of employees:lc. ci of achievement oforganizational goals: and effective monitoring and evaluation. And also that financial budgeting had a positive and significant relationship with firm growth.From the findings of the study, the researcher concluded that financial budgeting has a significant effect on firm growth in Dahabshil Money franslbr Company Limited. Kampala Uganda. lie recommended that emphasis on budgeting as a means to increase productivity through effectiveness and efficiency should be made: need for proper human resource management in an organization so as to achieve the organizational goals and objectives: timely meetings between the Organizational managers and employees so as to make them part of the decision making body. ‘i’icre some of the recommendations among others.
- ItemOil Revenue and People’s Socio-Economic Status in Unity State, South Sudan.(Kampala International University, College of Economics and Management., 2014-11) Mangok, Tap Diew ChanyThe purpose of this study was to find out the extent at which oil revenue management impacts on people’s socio-economic status in Unity State, South Sudan. In fulfilling this purpose, the following research objectives were set and these included: to establish effectiveness of oil revenue management; to examine socio-economic status of people in Unity State; and to establish relationship between oil revenue management and people’s socio-economic status in Unity State. Descriptive correlation design was used in this study and Slovene’s formula was also used to determine a sample size of 171 respondents from 300 study population and the sampling was done by the use of systematic random sampling. Self-administered questionnaires and interview guides were used as research instruments for data collection and validity and reliability of research instruments were done using Content Validity Index and pre-testing. Both qualitative and quantitative data analyses were employed. Mean, standard deviations were employed to determine the effectiveness oil revenue management and people’s socio-economic status while correlation matrix and regression model analysis were applied to establish the relationship between independent and dependent variables. Study findings reveal that oil revenue management in Unity State is still ineffectively managed and this was verified by overall mean average of 2.41. People’s socio economic status in Unity State was also lowly rated and this was confirmed by the overall average mean of 2.33. Concerning the relationship between the oil revenue management and people’s socio-economic status, the research findings reveal that there is positive and significant relationship between the two study variables and this was confirmed by the r= 0.981, R2=0.962; beta=0.981 and Sig=0.000. The study concluded that oil revenue in Unity State is still ineffectively managed; people’s socio-economic status is still low; and that an improvement in oil revenue management can significantly boost people’s socio-economic status in Unity State, South Sudan by benefiting directly or indirectly from oil revenue. Directly from the projects funded from the revenue and indirectly from employment opportunities etc. The study recommended that the government of South Sudan should streamline policy framework regarding oil revenue management; offer further training for those in charge of oil revenue; work hand in hand with international development agencies; and high external experts so as to improve on oil revenue management so that the socio economic status of people in Unity State.
- ItemEconomic Growth and Unemployment in Uganda (1991 — 2014)(Kampala International University, College of Economics and Management., 2016-04) Ahmed, Mohamed ElmiThis post-graduate thesis presents a regression analysis of the accumulated empirical evidence on the relationship between economic growth and unemployment in Uganda. Okun’s law emphasis the relationship between economic growth and unemployment stating that there is inverse relationship among economic growth and unemployment. Even so, sometimes both variables move towards same direction meaning an increase of economic growth leads to a rise of unemployment. The researcher employed correlation design with line regression analysis using Statistical Package for Social Science (SPSS) to analyse the empirical impacts of economic growth on unemployment in Uganda. The data of these both variables were confidential and were taken from the Ugandan Bureau Of Statistics and World Bank as this thesis concerned in Uganda. The result of findings showed that there is weak negative correlation between economic growth and unemployment in Uganda from 1991 to 2014. The analysis displayed that 1% increase of economic growth reduces 2.3% of the unemployment in Uganda which is acceptable according the Okun’s law, saying “ to reduce unemployment in 1% point during a year, the economic growth must grow nearly 2% points faster than the rate of growth of potential economic growth over that period. The regression analysis further showed that the null hypotheses was rejected as critical value of F (0.159) is greater than 0.05 of significant level. The researcher recommended according to the findings that Uganda should not emphasize the economic growth more to reduce the unemployment in the country but the other variables (investment, inflation, government policies etc) that affect the unemployment after when research being done.
- ItemInflation and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in Uganda (1984- 2014)(Kampala International University, College of Economics and Management Sciences ., 2016-04) Mahdi, Barre EgehThis research investigated the effect of inflation rate on gross domestic product (GDP) in Uganda during the period of 1984-2014 by using Correlation and Linear regression analysis to analyse and interpret the findings of data. The rate of gross domestic product was falling for the last four years in Uganda (UBO5).The researcher obtained yearly collected data of the two variables under this study from the Bank of Uganda website, Uganda bureau of statistics and World Bank. The researcher found that the trend of Inflation rate was not stable and kept changing from tirtie to time while the government did a lot of efforts to solve and did something good, while the trend of GDP growth rate was falling down little bit from time to time. The researcher found negative and insignificant relationship between inflation rate and GDP growth rate for Uganda from 1984 -2014, The coefficient of determination (R2) is 0.043 implied that only 4.3% of the variations in economic growth (GDP) have been explained by inflation and about 95.7% was captured by other factors which have substantial influence on GDP but were excluded from the model . This regression analysis agrees with the correlation analysis that the Pearson’s correlation coefficient(r=-0.274) implying that there is a negative relationship between inflation rate and GDP growth rate in Uganda. The coefficient of determination (r2=0.075), shows that changes in inflation rate reduces GDP growth rate by just 7.5% and 92.5% of other factors reduces and affects GDP growth rate. These findings are also in line with many of the literature review. Results also indicate that in developing countries like Uganda there are other factors that explain GDP growth rate than inflation and therefore to study GDP in developing countries, there is need to employ more factors other than inflation alone. These results have important policy implications. Moderate inflation is helpful to growth, thus Uganda should ensure that its inflation doesn’t move to a double digit but should evolve on moderate inflation rate.
- ItemEconomic growth and unemployment in Uganda (1991-2014)(Kampala International University,College of Economics and Management, 2016-04) Ahmed, Mohamed; ElmiThis post-graduate thesis presents a regression analysis of the accumulated empirical evidence on the relationship between economic growth and unemployment In Uganda. Okun’s law emphasis the relationship between economic growth and unemployment stating that there Is Inverse relationshIp among economic growth and unemployment Even so, sometimes both variables move towards same direction meaning an increase of economic growth leads to a rise of unemployment. The researcher employed correlation desIgn with Ilnearregression analysisusing Statistical Package for Social ScIence (SPSS) to analyse the empirical impacts of economic growth on unemployment In Uganda. The data of these both variables were confidential and were taken from the Ugandan Bureau Of Statistics and Woild Bank as this thesis concerned In Uganda. The result of findIngs showed that there is weak negative correlation between economic growth and unemployment In Uganda from 19Ô1 to 2014. The analysis displayed that 1% increase of economic growth reduces 2.3% of the unemployment In Uganda which is acceptable according the Okun’s law, saying “to reduce unemployment In 1% poInt during a year, the economic growth must grow nearly 2% poInts faster than the rate of growth of potential economic growth over that period. The regression analysis further showed thatthe nullhypotheses was rejected as critical value of F (0.159) is greater than 0.05 of significant level. The researcher recommended according to the findings that Uganda should not emphasize the economic growth more to reduce the unemployment In the country but the other variables (investment, Inflation, government polides etc) that affect the unemployment after when research being done.
- ItemUnemployment and poverty in Puntland Somalia(Kampala International University, College of Economics and Management, 2016-04) Nasteho, Musse GelleThis study established the relationship between unemployment and poverty among the people of Puntland in Somalia. To achieve the research purpose, the following research objectives were formulates: to assess the level of unemployment among the people in Puntland, Somalia; to examine the level of poverty among the people in Puntland, Somalia; to establish whether there is any significant relationship between unemployment and poverty among the people in Puntland, Somalia. Descriptive correlation design was employed in this study; the sample size was 106 and these were sampled from a total population of 145. Systematic random sampling was used to select different categories of respondents. The data collection instruments used included the questionnaire and interview guide. The validity and reliability of the research instruments were determined using content validity index and pretesting. The data collected about the variables was coded and Statistical Package for Social Scientists (SPSS) was used for data entry and analysis. Mean ranges and standard deviations were used for the items that significantly measured the study variables, Pearson’ correlation and regression coefficient were used to establish the relationships between unemployment and the poverty among people in Puntland. The study findings indicated the level of unemployment among the people in Puntland is high (2.30 and standard deviation of .80); the level of poverty among the people of Puntland is also high (overall mean average of 2.42 and standard deviation of.82); and finally, the study found out that there is a positive, strong and significant relationship between unemployment and the level of poverty among people in Puntland, Somalia. This finding is indicated in the r. value of 0.676 and significant value of 0.000. Based on the research findings, the following recommendations have been made: the ministry of Agriculture and Tourism Development together with the Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning should design strategies lead to revitalization of agriculture so as to provide employment opportunities; the central government together with the local government should look into ways of attracting Foreign Direct Investment as a way of fighting unemployment as well as poverty among the people of Puntland. This can be done through by giving tax holidays and tax exemption among other methods; the government should also encourage universal technical education besides universal secondary education and universal primary education in Somalia; the government together with the Opposition parties should engage themselves into negotiations and dialogue such that political instability can be achieved in the country for better socio-economic development and attract foreign investors as well as local investors.
- ItemUnemployment and poverty in Puntland Somalia(Kampala International University, College of Economics and Management, 2016-04) Nasteho Musse, GelleThis study established the relationship between unemployment and poverty among the people of Puntland in Somalia. To achieve the research purpose, the following research objectives were formulated: to assess the level of unemployment among the people in Puntland, Somalia; to examine the level of poverty among the people in Puntland, Somalia; to establish whether there is any significant relationship between unemployment and poverty among the people in Puntland, Somalia. Descriptive correlation design was employed in this study; the sample size was 106 and these were sampled from a total population of 145. Systematic random sampling was used to select different categories of respondents. The data collection instruments used included the questionnaire and interview guide. The validity and reliability of the research instruments were determined using content validity index and pretesting. The data collected about the variables was coded and Statistical Package for Social Scientists (SPSS) was used for data entry and analysis. Mean ranges and standard deviations were used for the items that significantly measured the study variables, Pearson’ correlation and regression coefficient were used to establish the relationships between unemployment and the poverty among people in Puntland. The study findings indicated the level of unemployment among the people in Puntland is high (2.30 and standard deviation of .80); the level of poverty among the people of Puntland is also high (overall mean average of 2.42 and standard deviation of.82); and finally, the study found out that there is a positive, strong and significant relationship between unemployment and the level of poverty among people in Puntland, Somalia. This finding is indicated in the r. value of 0.676 and significant value of 0.000. Based on the research findings, the following recommendations have been made: the ministry of Agriculture and Tourism Development together with the Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning should design strategies lead to revitalization of agriculture so as to provide employment opportunities; the central government together with the local government should look into ways of attracting Foreign Direct Investment as a way of fighting unemployment as well as poverty among the people of Puntland. This can be done through by giving tax holidays and tax exemption among other methods; the government should also encourage universal technical education besides universal secondary education and universal primary education in Somalia; the government together with the opposition parties should engage themselves into negotiations and dialogue such that political instability can be achieved in the country for better socio-economic development and attract foreign investors as well as local investors.
- ItemEconomic growth and unemployment in Uganda (1991 - 2014)(Kampala International University; College of Higher Degrees and Research, 2016-04) Ahmed, Mohamed E.This post-graduate thesis presents a regression analysis of the accumulated empirical evidence on the relationship between economic growth and unemployment in Uganda. Okun’s law emphasis the relationship between economic growth and unemployment stating that there is inverse relationship among economic growth and unemployment. Even so, sometimes both variables move towards same direction meaning an increase of economic growth leads to a rise of unemployment. The researcher employed correlation design with linear regression analysis using Statistical Package for Social Science (SPSS) to analyze the empirical impacts of economic growth on unemployment in Uganda. The data of these both variables were confidential and were taken from the Ugandan Bureau Of Statistics and World Bank as this thesis concerned in Uganda. The result of findings showed that there is weak negative correlation between economic growth and unemployment in Uganda from 1991 to 2014. The analysis displayed that 1% increase of economic growth reduces 2.3% of the unemployment in Uganda which is acceptable according the Okun’s law, saying “ to reduce unemployment in l% point during a year, the economic growth must grow nearly 2% points faster than the rate of growth of potential economic growth over that period. The regression analysis further showed that the null hypothesis was rejected as critical value of F (0.159) is greater than 0.05 of significant level. The researcher recommended according to the findings that Uganda should not emphasize the economic growth more to reduce the unemployment in the country but the other variables (investment, inflation, government policies etc) that affect the unemployment after when research is being done.
- ItemEconomic growth and unemployment in Uganda (1991 — 2014)(Kampala International University, College of Economics & management., 2016-04) Ahmed Mohamed, ElmiThis post-graduate thesis presents a regression analysis of the accumulated empirical evidence on the relationship between economic growth and unemployment in Uganda. Okun’s law emphasis the relationship between economic growth and unemployment stating that there is inverse relationship among economic growth and unemployment. Even so, sometimes both variables move towards same direction meaning an increase of economic growth leads to a rise of unemployment. The researcher employed correlation design with linear regression analysis using Statistical Package for Social Science (SPSS) to analyses the empirical impacts of economic growth on unemployment in Uganda. The data of these both variables were confidential and were taken from the Ugandan Bureau of Statistics and World Bank as this thesis concerned in Uganda. The result of findings showed that there is weak negative correlation between economic growth and unemployment in Uganda from 1991 to 2014. The analysis displayed that 1% increase of economic growth reduces 2.3% of the unemployment in Uganda which is acceptable according the Okun’s law, saying “to reduce unemployment in b/a point during a year, the economic growth must grow nearly 2% points faster than the rate of growth of potential economic growth over that period. The regression analysis further showed that the null hypotheses was rejected as critical value of F (0.159) is greater than 0.05 of significant level. The researcher recommended according to the findings that Uganda should not emphasize the economic growth more to reduce the unemployment in the country but the other variables (investment, inflation, government policies etc) that affect the unemployment after when research being done
- ItemInflation and trade balance in Uganda(Kampala International University, College of Economics & management., 2016-05) Guled Abdullahi, HassanThe study set to investigate the impact of inflation on trade balance of Uganda from 1983-2O14~The study was guided by one objective of established relationship between inflation and trade balance in Uganda. The study adopted a longitudinal research design involving quantitative approach, Time series analysis was adopted and regression analysis to analyze secondary data collected from International monetary fund, Bank of Uganda and World Bank data sheets. The findings were that the inflation rate in Uganda has been increasing, though with some stagnations and fluctuations, the balance of trade was unfavorable over the last 32 years and there was a mix of ups and downs with the balance of trade still heating negative. The correlation coefficient shows a weak negative relationship(r=-O,307) between inflation rate and trade balance and after Stationarity correction, a negative and insignificant relationship was observed also. The rate change of trade balance due to inflation rate is (B=-O.021), indicating that a unit increase in inflation rate reduces trade balance by -O~O21. The researcher recommends the government should encourage the local company to produce and export so that to improve the trade balance. Finally, the government should have the policy to limit the import goods, decrease the cost of transport and decrease the impact of oil price on import to avoid trade balance deficit.
- ItemInflation and trade balance in Uganda(Kampala International University; College of Economics and management, 2016-05) Guled, Abdullahi H.The study set to investigate the impact of inflation on trade balance of Uganda from 1983-2014.The study was guided by one objective of established relationship between inflation and trade balance in Uganda. The study adopted a longitudinal research design involving quantitative approach. Time series analysis was adopted and regression analysis to analyze secondary data collected from International monetary fund, Bank of Uganda and World Bank data sheets. The findings were that the inflation rate in Uganda has been increasing, though with some stagnations and fluctuations. The balance of trade was unfavorable over the last 32 years and there was a mix of ups and downs with the balance of trade still heating negative. The correlation coefficient shows a weak negative relationship(r=-O.307) between inflation rate and trade balance and after Stationary correction, a negative and insignificant relationship was observed also. The rate change of trade balance due to inflation rate is (B=O.021), indicating that a unit increase in inflation rate reduces trade balance by -0.021. The researcher recommends the government should encourage the local company to produce and export so that to improve the trade balance. Finally, the government should have the policy to limit the import goods, decrease the cost of transport and decrease the impact of oil price on import to avoid trade balance deficit.
- ItemForeign direct investment and economic growth in Uganda (1990-2016)(Kampala International University, 2016-12) William Wol, Wieu WolThis study examined the impact of the Foreign Direct Investment (FDl) on economic growth in Uganda using time series data from 1990-2016.The specific objectives of the study were: to examine the effect of FDI on Agricultural sector growth, Manufacturing sector growth, Industrial sector growth and Service sector growth in Uganda using Seemingly Unrelated Regression analysis (SUR). This method of analysis allows modeling of the sector growth rates on same set of FDI, Human capital, labour force trade openness and financial sector development. The study tested for stationary variables using augmented dickey fuller tests and corrected for stationary by differencing using one period. The results showed that there is a significantly negative effect of FDI on economic growth in Uganda. Trade openness and Human capital are some of the channels through which FDI inflows impacts on Uganda’s economic growth. Trade openness and financial sector development impact on economic growth positively. It was observed that FDI has a positively significant effect on Industrial sector growth implying that FDI inflow into the economy increases the growth rate of the industrial sector but it does not have a significant effect on Agricultural sector growth, manufacturing sector growth, and service sector growth. Other variables like domestic capital, labour force trade openness do not impact on the growth of agricultural sector, trade openness and inflation impacts positively on the growth of the manufacturing sector. In addition only financial sector development was observed to positively impact on the service sector growth, all other factors were insignificant. FDI channeled through trade openness, labour force and financial sector development impacts negatively on the economy. Therefore Uganda should encourage and attract FDI directed to the Industrial sector FDI channeled through human capital and improve on the domestic investments to enable the sector drive the economy. Uganda should focus on transfer of skill, knowledge from the FDI inflows to boost domestic investments, value addition and growth.
- ItemPrivate sector development and economic growth in Rwanda(Kampala International University, 2017) Ngendahayo, Gatete GedeonThe study investigated the impact of private sector development on economic growth in Rwanda
- ItemMicrofinance institution services and standard of living in Garowe, Puntland, Somalia(Kampala International University. College of Economics and Management, 2017-01) Hussein, Mohamud MohamedThe study examined the relationship between microfinance institution services and standard of living in Garowe district, Somalia. The study was guided by three specific objectives that included (i) examining the relationship between credit services and standard of living in Garowe district; (ii) examining the relationship between saving services and standard of living in Garowe district and (iii) evaluate the relationship between insurance services and standard of living in Garowe district Somalia. This study used the descriptive survey design to establish the relationship between microfinance institution services and standard of living in Garowe district, Somalia, the study used a total population of 205 and a sample size of 135 respondents, and the questionnaire was used as the research instrument. Descriptive statistics used in this study included frequencies, means and PLCC on correlation of variables. Data analysis using rn~~ans showed that microfinance institution services were rated satisfactory (overall mean=2.88) and standard of living in Garowe district, Somalia was found to be satisfactory (mean=2.76). The following were the findings of the study; the findings indicated a positive significant relationship between credit services and standard of living in Garowe district, Somalia, the findings connoted that savings services are significantly correlated with the standard of living in Garowe district; there was a significant relationship between insurance services and standard of living in Garowe district. From the findings, the following recommendations were made; the microfinance institutions in Garowe district Somalia should make sure that the collateral security requirements are always compatible with the credit required by the client, the microfinance institutions in Garowe district Somalia should always allow citizens borrow a specific amount of money and pay back through regular monthly payments with no collateral required, the microfinance institutions in Garowe district Somalia should provide bonuses for prompt credit payment among clients, microfinance institutions in Garowe district Somalia should provide risk transfer services, hence improving on the insurance services provided, and lastly microfinance institutions should always support people in receiving health insurance.
- ItemPublic expenditure and economic growth in Uganda from 1995-2014(Kampala International University, College of Economics and Management, 2017-02) Hassan, Saed AdamThe main purpose of this study was to establish the influence of public expenditure on economic growth in Uganda from 1995-2014. It was driven by three major objectives; To determine the trend of public expenditure from 1995 -2014; To determine the trend of economic growth from 1995-2014; To establish if there is significant relationship between public expenditure and economic growth from 1995-2014. Using time series data from the world bank and Uganda bureau of statistics, both correlational and regression analysis statistical tools were applied to investigate and build a model for explaining the variation in economic growth. The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) representing Uganda’s GDP in Nominal terms is considered as the dependent variable in this study. Public expenditure (independent variable) is divided into three different attributes, for instance, public expenditure on consumption, public expenditure on education and public expenditure on health. The data shows that there have been irregular changes in real gross domestic product (RGDP) for years 1995 to 2014 throughout the nineteenyear period the study was conducted because the RGDP data registered some random increases and decreases within this time. The data further shows that there has been a rather constant variation in the percentage of public expenditure on health.Analysis of the public expenditure data reveals that public expenditure has registered some slight spikes for the lastnineteen years. The data also shows that there has been an irregular and relatively low variation in the percentage of public expenditure on education. The results of the analysis indicate that there exists a negative relationship between Expenditure on health and economic growth. the results also show that there is a positive relationship between expenditure on consumption and economic growth. The data also reveals that the three different attributes to expenditure, for instance, expenditure on consumption, health and education explain only 16.96% of the variation in overall government growth. The study thus recommends that if the government is to spur economic progress through public expenditure, then the most appropriate of doing so should be through consumption. Furthermore, the data shows that although public expenditure, best form of government spending to stimulate the economy, is not a very reliable way of increasing economic activity.
- ItemPublic expenditure and economic growth in Uganda from 1995 - 2014(Kampala International University, 2017-02) Saed, Adam HassanThis study established the influence of public expenditure on economic growth in growth in Uganda 1995-2014
- ItemPublic expenditure and economic growth in Uganda from 1995-2014(Kampala International University. College of Economics and Management, 2017-02) Saed, Adam HassanThe main purpose of this study was to establish the influence of public expenditure on economic growth in Uganda from 1995-2014. It was driven by three major objectives; To determine the trend of public expenditure from 1995 -2014; To determine the trend of economic growth from 1995-2014; To establish if there is significant relationship between public expenditure and economic growth from 1995-2014. Using time series data from the World Bank and Uganda bureau of statistics, both correlational and regression analysis statistical tools were applied to investigate and build a model for explaining the variation in economic growth. The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) representing Uganda’s GDP in Nominal terms is considered as the dependent variable in this study. Public expenditure (independent variable) is divided into three different attributes, for instance, public expenditure on consumption, public expenditure on education and public expenditure on health. The data shows that there have been irregular changes in real gross domestic product (RGDP) for years 1995 to 2014 throughout the nineteen year period the study was conducted because the RGDP data registered some random increases and decreases within this time. The data further shows that there has been a rather constant variation in the percentage of public expenditure on health. Analysis of the public expenditure data reveals that public expenditure has registered some slight spikes for the last nineteen years. The data also shows that there has been an irregular and relatively low variation in the percentage of public expenditure on education. The results of the analysis indicate that there exists a negative relationship between Expenditure on health and economic growth the results also show that there is a positive relationship between expenditure on consumption and economic growth. The data also reveals that the three different attributes to expenditure, for instance, expenditure on consumption, health and education explain only 16.96% of the variation in overall government growth. The study thus recommends that if the government is to spur economic progress through public expenditure, then the most appropriate of doing so should be through consumption. Furthermore, the data shows that although public expenditure, best form of government spending to stimulate the economy, is not a very reliable way of increasing economic activity.
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