Economic Growth and Unemployment in Uganda (1991 — 2014)
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Date
2016-04
Authors
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Journal ISSN
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Publisher
Kampala International University, College of Economics and Management.
Abstract
This post-graduate thesis presents a regression analysis of the accumulated
empirical evidence on the relationship between economic growth and unemployment
in Uganda.
Okun’s law emphasis the relationship between economic growth and unemployment
stating that there is inverse relationship among economic growth and
unemployment. Even so, sometimes both variables move towards same direction
meaning an increase of economic growth leads to a rise of unemployment. The
researcher employed correlation design with line regression analysis using Statistical
Package for Social Science (SPSS) to analyse the empirical impacts of economic
growth on unemployment in Uganda. The data of these both variables were
confidential and were taken from the Ugandan Bureau Of Statistics and World Bank
as this thesis concerned in Uganda. The result of findings showed that there is weak
negative correlation between economic growth and unemployment in Uganda from
1991 to 2014. The analysis displayed that 1% increase of economic growth reduces
2.3% of the unemployment in Uganda which is acceptable according the Okun’s law,
saying “ to reduce unemployment in 1% point during a year, the economic growth
must grow nearly 2% points faster than the rate of growth of potential economic
growth over that period. The regression analysis further showed that the null
hypotheses was rejected as critical value of F (0.159) is greater than 0.05 of
significant level. The researcher recommended according to the findings that Uganda
should not emphasize the economic growth more to reduce the unemployment in
the country but the other variables (investment, inflation, government policies etc)
that affect the unemployment after when research being done.
Description
A Research Thesis Submitted to the College of Higher Degrees and Research in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirement of the Award of Master’s Degree in Economic Policy and Planning of Kampala International University, Uganda.
Keywords
Economic Growth, Unemployment, Uganda